Tuesday, October 31, 2017

Cornish-Fisher​ ​Expansion

It​ ​is​ ​​approximate​ ​method​ ​for​ ​deriving​ ​quantiles​ ​of​ ​any​ ​random​ ​variable​ ​distribution​ ​based​ ​on​ ​its cumulants.​ ​Cornish-Fisher​ ​Expansion​ ​can​ ​be​ ​used​ , for example, to​ ​calculate​ ​various​ ​Value​ ​At​ ​Risk​ ​(VaR)​ ​quantiles.

Cumulants​ ​κ​r​​ ​are​ ​an​ ​alternative​ ​expression​ ​of​ ​distribution​ ​moments​ ​µ​r.​ ​For​ ​a​ ​cumulant​ ​κ​r of​ ​an order​ ​​r ​​it​ ​holds​ ​for​ ​all​ ​real​ ​​t ​(where​ ​µ​r​​ ​denotes​ ​raw​ ​moment):
Not​ ​trivial​ ​to​ ​derive​ ​at​ ​all,​ ​but​ ​can​ ​be​ ​generally​ ​expressed​ ​by​ ​recursion:
This​ ​leads​ ​to​ ​expression​ ​from​ ​raw​ ​moments​ ​(first​ ​4​ ​cumulants​ ​showed):
Alternatively​ ​derived​ ​from​ ​central​ ​moments​ ​(for​ ​r>1):
The​ ​Cornish-Fischer​ ​expansion​ ​for​ ​approximate​ ​determination​ ​of​ ​quantile​ ​x​q​​ ​builds​ ​on​ ​the​ ​variable​ ​X mean​ ​µ,​ ​standard​ ​deviation​ ​σ​ ​and​ ​cumulants​ ​κ​r​,​ ​with​ ​the​ ​help​ ​of​ ​quantiles​ ​of​ ​standard​ ​normal distribution​ ​N(0,1):

No comments:

Post a Comment